Founding Members

September 15, 2003

WATCHING A JAPANESE SUNRISE

By Tom Plate

The Koizumi approach is like nothing Japan or its allies have ever seen

© 2003 Asia Pacific Media Network


TOKYO -- Like just about everybody else, the Japanese can’t figure out what to do about Iraq.

As America’s ally, they’d like to send troops to help out, but they’d prefer international cover, such as a U.N. resolution, not yet forthcoming. Though domestic legislation permitting dispatch of what the Japanese term ‘‘self-defense forces’’ (i.e., troops) is in effect, the public wants to stay out of this mess. Past politicians would have punted, citing ‘‘domestic difficulties’’ while scribbling out a check for a billion dollars to salve their conscience and mollify U.S. critics. But when I recently asked Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi point-blank if Japan will send troops to Iraq, the frothy-haired politician stared me straight in the eye, as he did throughout the 45-minute interview, and said: ‘‘Yes.’’

Japan has a different kind of prime minister. He meets the press, answers questions, makes decisions, charms the ladies, cracks jokes and is anything but boring. Whether he’ll be able to pull off Japan’s needed economic reform remains the gazillion-yen question.

Our interview took place in the new Kantei, the PM’s official residence. The old PM building was stuffy; this one is a sunny splash of pastel colors, panoptic panels of glass and open spaces. It’s a breath of
fresh air -- much like Koizumi himself: bouncy bachelor, spiffy dresser, blunt speaker and (never to be underestimated in politics) lucky son-of-a-gun.

Finally, the economy may be shaking off its extended hibernation. Between April and June it grew at a rate faster than the U.S.’s (for the first time in 13 years) as consumers are starting to spend again. And
Japan’s diplomacy seems reborn -- thanks to Koizumi’s bold trip to North Korea a year ago that produced the Pyongyang Declaration, a precursor to the six-party talks in Beijing aimed at preventing war.

Since taking office two years ago, Koizumi has been counted out more than the Japanese economy. Yet today his public-opinion approval rating hovers at a healthy 50 percent -- high by post-war Japan standards. Koizumi is a gifted mass communicator in a TV age when visuals are, for better or worse, vital to governance.

Koizumi denies he’s all for show. ‘‘I believe it is not possible to try to communicate to the public without having the conviction that what I am about to do is necessary and correct,’’ he said, speaking in Japanese, though well understanding my questions in English. ‘‘If there is any difference between myself and other politicians in the LDP, I am convinced it was that, ever since I was elected, I’ve always thought from the perspective of what is necessary for the country as a whole, not just for my political party.’’

Koizumi hails politically from the Liberal Democratic Party, the muscle-bound octopus that up to now has locked its arms around any reform threatening its various feudal cash-machines. ‘‘I have found it necessary to speak to the public in general,’’ explained Koizumi, ‘‘not just to the party organization .... I have no intention of just defending the party.’’ Even so, on Sept. 20, this career politician is odds-on to be reelected as president of LDP, the largest party in the Diet and the kingmaker of PMs. Three more years in Kantei seems likely now. Insisted Koizumi: ‘‘What’s really important is trust -- to try to do what you think is necessary and right for the country.’’

Koizumi’s effortless ebullience will also help smooth over the inevitable bumps ahead. ‘‘As a politician, we should not fall into pessimism,’’ he said. We both smiled as we recalled former President Carter’s infamous and unforgettable ‘‘malaise’’ speech that so depressed voters. Sure, Koizumi is human and has his ups and downs, but his special grace, like John F. Kennedy’s, is a canny sense of humor that surfaces when least expected. One example: At a conference in Southeast Asia, leaders sitting around the table were bogged down in dreary discussion. Out of the blue, Koizumi, Japan’s most prominent bachelor, piped in with a funny story about his girlfriend that broke everyone up. Another: As health minister a few years ago, a reporter asked if Japan should make it a priority to approve Viagra or reduce dioxin emissions. ‘‘Personally,’’ he quipped, ‘‘Viagra.’’

The truth is, Japan’s limp economy could use a Viagra lift -- no joke when you’re talking about the globe’s second largest. Koizumi is no joke, either, and may be the leader Japan has long needed. Our Texas president, when he visits Tokyo next month, should listen to this rising political star carefully -- and not just to the one-liners. Koizumi has at least three more years in power; George W. Bush may not.


The above weekly column has just appeared in the Honolulu Advertiser, The South China Morning Post and The Straits Times of Singapore. The author, Tom Plate, is a regular columnist at these three papers. The column also appears in other world newspapers, including The San Francisco Chronicle, The Seattle Times, The Japan Times and The Korea Times. Email him at: tplate@ucla.edu.

For publication and reprint rights, contact the author directly or John Simpson (john.simpson@latsi.com) of the Los Angeles Times Syndicate International.


Bio Remarks: Tom Plate is a professor of Policy and Communication Studies at UCLA where he founded the Asia Pacific Media Network. He is a regular columnist for the Los Angeles Times Syndicate International, the South China Morning Post, The Straits Times and the Honolulu Advertiser. He is a member of the World Economic Forum, the Pacific Council on International policy and the author of five books. He has worked at TIME, the Los Angeles Times and the Daily Mail of London.

Previous Columns:

The Beginnings of Democracy in China?
(September 8, 2003)

The Metaphor of the Two Suns
(September 7, 2003)

The Only Way the Terrorists Can Win
(August 31, 2003)


In The End, ‘Regime Change’ Policies Undermine The Bush Regime
(August 25, 2003)